Here in Vegas, Indianapolis opened at most spots as a four or 4.5 point favorite. The line quickly moved to 5 then 5.5. There were a couple of stray 6’s out there briefly, but once news of the Dwight Freeney injury hit, the line dropped back to 5, and now there are a bunch of 4.5’s showing. Also found two 5.5’s at sportsbooks in town, so the coveted “Middle” is a distinct possibility. If the final score fell on 5, it would be one of the BIGGEST DISASTERS in Las Vegas sportsbook history. Millions of dollars down the drain on payoffs to the folks that had -4.5. on the Colts, the folks that had +5.5 on the Saints, and HUNDREDS of millions refunded for the push. The bookies out here are printing t-shirts that say,”If it’s FIVE we get HIVES.”
Now to the VERY attractive underdog. New Orleans is a scoring machine. Through the first thirteen games, the Saints averaged 35.8 points, then dropped off in the last three losses, but still led the NFL with 31.9 ppg. Obviously, they have ramped it up in the playoffs, laying 45 on Arizona and 31 on Minnesota. So, bottom line is, the Saints are GONNA score. Drew Brees is not Peyton Manning, but he DID lead the NFL with a 109.8 passer rating, and 34 TD’s. And while Brees might not be a Manning, he AIN’T a Mark Sanchez or a Joe Flacco. The Horseshoes breezed through the first two rounds against teams with QB’s that were in place to MANAGE the game, not really win the game. Then we come to Mr. Freeney. No one can really be sure of his status for Sunday, so we’ll just say that he will not be at 100%. If Freeney can’t go, we’ve seen his backup, Raheem Brock, and Brock is capable, but he’s
no Freeney. And no Freeney would make life considerably easier for Brees. In case you were wondering, both teams played on this field during the regular season. Indy beat the Dolphins, 27-23 in week two, while New Orleans ripped the Fish, 46-34 in week seven. So, obviously, both teams like the surface. Call it a wash. Both teams were 7-1 on the road, another wash. As for the spread records, slight edge to the Colts who come in at 10-6, while the Saints posted an 8-8 mark. So, with two prolific QB’s, and defenses that will give up points, we’re expecting this game to look eerily familiar, like Super Bowl XIII when Pittsburgh beat Dallas 35-31, commonly known around Vegas as Black Sunday (Why Black Sunday? Well, the Steelers opened -3.5 and were bet up as high as -4.5. The game fell four, and the books were DESTROYED!). This might not be a “Black Sunday” but the Saints WILL cover the spread in a 37-34 loss to Mannings.
Prop me up.
Now for some fun stuff. The prop wagers.
1) First out of the chute for me is the MVP: I’m gonna roll with Reggie Bush at 15-1.
2) Player to score the first TD: I got Pierre Garcon at 12-1.
3) Game goes to OT: I have yes at +$1200 (put up $100, get back $1200).
4) Reggie Bush total rushing & receiving yards: The over/under is 58.5 yards, and I’m goin’ over.
5) Carrie Underwood sings the National Anthem: The over/under is 1:43, and I got the over.
6) First song the Who sings at halftime: “Won’t Get Fooled Again” at +$200.
Here are a few dozen ways to bet on the Super Bowl…Enjoy!!!
*SUPER BOWl XLIV*
*Miami, FL*
COLTS * 4.5 * 5 * (56.5)* Saints*
Money Line: Colts -$200 vs. Saints +$170.
1st half line: Colts -2.5.
1st half total: Over/under 28.
—————————————————-
How long will the national anthem take: Over/under 1 minute 43 seconds*
(Note: Wager goes from the start of the first word to the end of the last word)*
Team to score first: Colts -$150 vs. Saints +$130*
Team to score last: Colts -$130 vs. Saints +$110*
Team to score first wins: Yes -$180 vs. No +$160*
Will there be a score in the last 2 minutes of the 1st half: Yes -$280 vs. No +$240*
Will either team score three unanwered times: Yes -$200 vs. No +$170*
Will there be a safety: No -$2000 vs. Yes +$1200*
Will there be a defensive or special teams TD: Yes -$180 vs. No +$160*
Will the game go into OT: No -$2000 vs. Yes +$1200*
Team to win coin toss: Colts -$110 vs. Saints -$110*
Team to have first coach’s challenge: Colts -$110 vs. Saints -$110*
Team to call 1st timeout: Colts -$110 vs. Saints -$110*
Team to commit 1st penalty: Colts -$110 vs. Saints -$110*
Which team will punt first: Colts -$110 vs. Saints -$110*
Which team will receive the opening kickoff: Colts -$110 vs. Saints -$110*
Total passing yards by Peyton Manning: Over/under 308.5 yards.
Total completions by Peyton Manning: Over/under 25.5 completions.
Total pass attempts by Peyton Manning: Over/under 36.5 attempts.
Total rushing attempts by Peyton Manning: Over/under 1.5 attempts.
Longest pass completion by Peyton Manning: Over/under 39.5 yards.
Will Peyton Manning throw an interception: Yes -$160 vs. No +$140*
Total passing yards by Drew Brees: Over/under 282.5 yards.
Total completions by Drew Brees: Over/under 24.5 completions.
Total pass attempts by Drew Brees: Over/under 36.5 attempts.
Total rushing attempts by Drew Brees: Over/under 1.5 attempts.
Longest pass completion by Drew Brees: Over/under 38.5 yards.
Will Drew Brees throw an interception: Yes -$170 vs. No +$150*
Total rushing yards by Joseph Addai: Over/under 66.5 yards.
Total rushing attempts by Joseph Addai: Over/under 15.5 attempts.
Total receiving yards by Joseph Addai: Over/under 18.5 yards.
Longest rush by Joseph Addai: Over/under 16.5 yards.
Total rushing yards by Pierre Thomas: Over/under 53.5 yards.
Total rushing attempts by Pierre Thomas: Over/under 12.5 attempts.
Total receiving yards by Pierre Thomas: Over/under 26.5 yards.
Longest rush by Pierre Thomas: Over/under 15.5 yards.
Total rushing yards by Reggie Bush: Over/under 29.5 yards.
Total rushing attempts by Reggie Bush: Over/under 5.5 attempts.
Total receiving yards by Reggie Bush: Over/under 29.5 yards.
Total combined rushing and receiving yards by Reggie Bush: Over/under 58.5 yards.
Total receiving yards by Reggie Wayne: Over/under 76.5 yards.
Total receptions made by Reggie Wayne: Over/under 6.5 receptions.
Longest pass reception by Reggie Wayne: Over/under 24.5 yards.
Total receiving yards by Marques Colston: Over/under 70.5 yards.
Total receptions made by Marques Colston: Over/under 5.5 receptions.
Longest pass reception by Marques Colston: Over/under 22.5 yards.
Total receiving yards by Devery Henderson: Over/under 47.5 yards.
Total receptions made by Devery Henderson: Over/under 4.5 receptions.
Longest pass reception by Devery Henderson: Over/under 18.5 yards.
Total receiving yards by Dallas Clark: Over/under 67.5 yards.
Total receptions made by Dallas Clark: Over/under 6.5 receptions.
Longest pass reception by Dallas Clark: Over/under 18.5 yards.
Total receiving yards by Jeremy Shockey: Over/under 29.5 yards.
Total receptions made by Jeremy Shockey: Over/under 3.5 receptions.
Longest pass reception by Jeremy Shockey: Over/under 13.5 yards.
Longest pass reception by Pierre Garcon: Over/under 61.5 yards.
Total receptions made by Pierre Garcon: Over/under 5.5 receptions.
Longest pass reception by Pierre Garcon: Over/under 24.5 yards.
Total receiving yards by Austin Collie: Over/under 50.5 yards.
Total receptions made by Austin Collie: Over/under 4.5 receptions.
Longest pass reception by Austin Collie: Over/under 19.5 yards.
Longest TD scored: Over/under 52.5 yards.
Shortest TD scored: Over/under 1.5 yards.
Longest FG made: Over/under 44.5 yards.
Shortest FG made: Over/under 22.5 yards.
Total TD’s (both teams): Over/under 6.5 TD’s.
Total pass completions (both teams): Over/under 50.5 completions.
Total turnovers (both teams): Over/under 3.5 turnovers.
Total punts (both teams): Over/under 7.5 punts.
Total sacks (both teams): Over/under 3.5 sacks.
Total offensive yards (both teams): Over/under 786.5 punts.
Total 1st downs (both teams): Over/under 45.5 1st downs.
Total penalties (both teams): Over/under 9.5 penalties.
Total rushing yards (both teams): Over/under 213.5 yards.
—————————————————-
Peyton Manning’s first pass:
Complete -$250*
Incomplete +$200*
Interception +$1500*
—————————————————-
Total passing yards by Peyton Manning:
0-100 yards +$1000*
101-190 yards +$500*
190-245 yards +$400*
246-299 yards +$120*
300-325 yards +$140*
326 or more +$180*
—————————————————-
Drew Brees’ first pass:
Complete -$250*
Incomplete +$200*
Interception +$1500*
—————————————————-
Total passing yards by Drew Brees:
0-100 yards +$1000*
101-190 yards +$200*
190-245 yards +$150*
246-299 yards +$130*
300-325 yards +$180*
326 or more +$160*
—————————————————-
First score of the game:
Touchdown -$180*
Field goal +$140*
Any other score +$3000*
—————————————————-
First score of the game:
At exactly 7 minutes or less -$200*
vs.
After 7:01 -$170*
—————————————————-
First scoring play will be:
Colts touchdown +$140*
Saints touchdown +$260*
Colts field goal +$240*
Saints field goal +$340*
Colts safety +$10000*
Saints safety +$10000*
—————————————————-
Highest scoring quarter:
2nd quarter +$140*
4th quarter +$170*
3rd quarter +$475*
1st quarter +$500*
—————————————————-
*NFL Winning Margin Proposition*
—————————————————-
Colts * Winning Margin * Saints*
—————————————————-
7/2 * 1-6 points * 4/1*
4/1 * 7-12 points * 6/1*
6/1 * 13-18 points * 10/1*
10/1 * 19-24 points * 20/1*
15/1 * 25-30 points * 40/1*
20/1 * 31-36 points * 80/1*
50/1 * 37-42 points * 125/1*
100/1 * 43 or more points * 250/1*
—————————————————-
*Double Result*
—————————————————-
Colts win the 1st half and win game -$140*
Saints win the 1st half and win game +$400*
Saints win the 1st half and Colts win game +$680*
Colts win the 1st half and Saints win game +$800*
1st half is a tie and Colts win game +$2000*
1st half is a tie and Saints win game +$2500*
Saints win the 1st half and game goes to OT +$2500*
Colts win the 1st half and game goes to OT +$3000*
1st half is a tie and game goes to OT +$7000*
—————————————————-
*Player to win the MVP*
—————————————————-
Peyton Manning * +$100*
Drew Brees * +$300*
Joseph Addai * +$700*
Pierre Thomas * +$800*
Reggie Wayne * +$1000*
Marques Colston * +$1200*
Pierre Garcon * +$1500*
Dallas Clark * +$1500*
Reggie Bush * +$1500*
Donald Brown * +$1800*
Austin Collie * +$1800*
Jeremy Shockey * +$1200*
Devery Henderson * +$1800*
Darren Sharper * +$2500*
Dwight Freeney * +$3500*
Jonathan Vilma * +$4000*
Field * +$1000*
—————————————————-
*Player to score the first touchdown*
—————————————————-
Joseph Addai * +$500*
Dallas Clark * +$600*
Pierre Thomas * +$700*
Reggie Wayne * +$800*
Marques Colston * +$1000*
Jeremy Shockey * +$1200*
Pierre Garcon * +$1200*
Reggie Bush * +$1200*
Austin Collie * +$1200*
Donald Brown * +$1500*
Robert Meachem * +$1500*
Devery Henderson * +$1800*
Drew Brees * +$3000*
Peyton Manning * +$3500*
No touchdown scored * +$20000*
—————————————————-
*Total touchdowns scored*
—————————————————-
Seven * +$400*
Eight * +$450*
Six * +$500*
Nine * +$500*
Five * +$600*
Four * +$600*
Ten * +$800*
Three * +$1000*
Two * +$3000*
Eleven * +$3000*
Twelve * +$5000*
One * +$8000*
No touchdown scored * +$20000*
—————————————————-
*First turnover of the game*
—————————————————-
Interception -$150*
Fumble +$140*
Turnover on downs +$1000*
No turnover +$1200*
—————————————————-
*How many times will the Ref call for a measurement*
—————————————————-
None +$160*
One +$200*
Two +$300*
Three +$400*
Four +$800*
Five or more +$1000*
—————————————————-
*First song played by the Who at halftime*
—————————————————-
Won’t Get Fooled Again * +$200*
Baba O Riley * +$225*
My Generation * +$300*
I Can See For Miles * +$500*
Who Are You * +$600*
Anyway Anyhow Anywhere * +$600*
Substitute * +$700*
I Can’t Explain * +$700*
The Seeker * +$800*
Pinball Wizard * +$800*
—————————————————-
Most people don’t bother, but THERE IS money to be made…
Check this out…
Heads or Tails
The NFC is a lock to win the Super Bowl coin toss!
Have we gone mad? Maybe not…Check this out.
You think flipping a coin is the ultimate fair way to decide who gets that last piece of cake in the
fridge and the NFL thought it would be a fair way to decide who gets to receive the opening kickoff in the Super Bowl.
While the fairness of the cake scenario might hold up, the Super Bowl coin toss has been an affront to
fairness with the NFC winning 13 in a row! If you thought this was a 50-50 proposition, you were dead wrong and you would have missed out on a chance to make a lot of money over the years. Unlike the game itself – where the AFC has won nine of 12 – the NFC almost always wins it and is currently on a devastating 15-2 run of Super Bowl coin toss victories.
We went looking for answers to the obvious question about how the NFC rigs the coin toss, which had
produced a perfect split of 21 heads and 21 tails before last season’s Super Bowl (heads, won by Arizona by the way).
Super Bowl XLIV will see captains of each team gather at midfield to conduct the coin toss and sportsbooksthe world over offer betting on it – Will it be heads or tails and will the NFC or AFC win? Tails would return the split to a perfect 22-22 through 44 games. And maybe the AFC doesn’t even want to win it. The last time they won was Super Bowl XXXI and the Patriots lost to the Packers.
It’s one of the most popular props because it requires no knowledge of the game. So even a casual Super Bowl observer can throw down on the coin toss.
Trivia Question: With all the dominant defenses in Super Bowl history, has any team winning the toss ever elected to kick instead of receive?
Nope. Nada. Never gonna happen!
Total passing yards by Drew Brees: Over/under 282.5 yards.
Total completions by Drew Brees: Over/under 24.5 completions.
Total pass attempts by Drew Brees: Over/under 36.5 attempts.
Total rushing attempts by Drew Brees: Over/under 1.5 attempts.
Longest pass completion by Drew Brees: Over/under 38.5 yards.
Will Drew Brees throw an interception: Yes -$170 vs. No +$150.
Total passing yards by Peyton Manning: Over/under 308.5 yards.
Total completions by Peyton Manning: Over/under 25.5 completions.
Total pass attempts by Peyton Manning: Over/under 36.5 attempts.
Total rushing attempts by Peyton Manning: Over/under 1.5 attempts.
Longest pass completion by Peyton Manning: Over/under 39.5 yards.
Will Peyton Manning throw an interception: Yes -$160 vs. No +$140*
New York comes to the Left coast having won six of the last seven where San Diego is waiting with an 11 game winning streak. This is nothing new to the Chargers who came into the 2006 playoffs on a 10-0 run and lost at home to New England in the divisional round. The Lightning Bolts also had an 8-0 run to close out the 2007 season, and were bounced out of the playoffs by the Patriots, a team from…the AFC East. Everyone keeps questioning the Jets and head coach Rex Ryan, but they just keep rolling. With the NFL’s number ONE rushing game (172 yards per game),
the number ONE scoring defense (14.8 ppg) and the number ONE overall defense (252 ypg), ya gotta believe that the New Yorkers can hang. We DO expect San Diego to squeeze out a win at home, where they have a fabulous 28-7 record the last four years, but the final margin should DEFINITELY be under a touchdown.
Everybody wants a piece of Vegas, and we're gonna bring you THE BEST of Vegas, EVERY DAY!!!
You want the Strip...got it!
You want the clubs...got it!
You want the food....got it!
You want the odds....got it!
And OF COURSE, you want PICTURES & VIDEO...got it!
